Sunday, July 11, 2010

On the harmful effects of Global Cooling

From the Los Angeles Times:
Unusually cold temperatures in Southern California continued, with Los Angeles International Airport setting a record low on Friday.

LAX got to only 67 degrees, breaking a record set in 1926, according to the National Weather Service.
Can we say "coolest summer ever" for L.A. ?  Or is it too early? 

Fort Worth's summer has been downright pleasant so far. 

I hope this isn't anything we need to start worrying about.  A lot of people have spent a lot of money and time lobbying Congress to achieve this kind of weather, lobbying for carbon emission quotas, cap and tax schemes, perpetutal motion machines, and fans blown by unseen fairy flatulence. 

Unfortunately, none of those schemes are in place.  Yet.  It would be a shame if we got the good effects before the good causes were put into place by our government.  Less-informed people might start thinking that there was no relationship between our behavior and the weather. 

For tens of thousands of years, superstitious people have believed that when we anger The Gods, it causes changes in the weather.  The spring rains don't come.  The corn harvest is puny.  It must be because of something that we did. 

Therefore we do rain dances, throw virgins into the volcano, make chicken sacrifices to The Corn God, put a carbon-trading scam in place, purchase a Prius, or pray.  They are equally effective. 

If earth continues cooling, people will stop feeling guilty and will stop making sacrifices to The Government The Weather Gods.  Well, God is not mocked. 

Senator James Inhofe will be punished for allowing his family to build this obscene structure during Washington D.C.'s Global Cooling scare last year.  (Luke 17:2  "It would be better for him to be thrown into the sea with a millstone tied around his neck than for him to cause one of these little ones to sin.")  You can look it up ! 

Pray for heat.  Pray, pray, pray.  All bad things should always be our fault.  Repent.  Sacrifice.  For we are guilty, guilty, guilty of doing things that are bad, bad, bad. 

I'm gonna go sacrifice a goat.  Have a good day !   (But don't you dare feel good about it.)


Cedric Katesby said...

On the harmful effects of Global Cooling

There is no global cooling.
If you want to know about the Earth's climate then you have to use science. Looking out your window will not help you in the end.
The US military has not been infiltrated by the "commies".

Anonymous said...

"If earth continues cooling, people will stop feeling guilty and will stop making sacrifices to The Government The Weather Gods. Well, God is not mocked."

This statement should read ". . . . people will stop feeling guilty and START making sacrifices OF The Government / Weather Gods . . . . "

B Woodman

Anonymous said...

And if there really IS global cooling, we have plenty of Progressives/Socialists/Libturds to mine the coal and keep us warm for years to come . . .
You know how it is with supply and demand. Even with a large demand, when you have a plentiful supply, costs are kept down.
And when all the P/S/L's are thrown out of work because their policies will have been proven false, they'll be eager to work anywhere, for any wages. Even in a coal mine.

B Woodman

The Whited Sepulchre said...


To paraphrase Chico Marx...."Who are we going to believe, the scientists or our own lyin' eyes?"

Cedric Katesby said...

"Who are we going to believe, the scientists or our own lyin' eyes?"

I fully understand the attraction to trust your own perceptions.
Yet what you see with your own eyes can be completely misleading and can guide you straight to the poor-house.

Or straight into the arms of the wonderful world of dowsing.

You are relying on personal experience and anecdotal evidence.

What you see might well be very real and very true at that specific time and specific place.
Yes, it's cold today.
Yes, that's a lot of snow.
Your friend up North calls you.
He's snowed in.
Can't get out of his house.
He's not lying to you. There's no trick up his sleeve.
Yet taking these two pieces of information and then proclaiming global warming a hoax is not scientific.
It's completely misleading to yourself and others to say such a thing.

People are bad at statistics and data gathering.
Really bad.
People truly suck at statistics.
It's something that does not come naturally.
Science is about taking precautions to ensue that you are not falling victim to your own prejudices and immediate personal perceptions.
It's very easy to do.
Smart people fool themselves all the time.
That's why when you gather data, you have to be aware of the possible pitfalls and take the appropriate counter-measures.
That takes specialist training.
Here's a very famous case of where your lying eyes can lead you hopelessly in the wrong direction and where rigourously application of statistics and critical thinking can lead you back again.
Randi is da man!

It's exactly the same thing for measuring the health of a national economy or a business franchise.
You have to look at it from multiple different angles and get your numbers from a broad range of sources.
The smaller the number of data points you use, the less reliable your overall figures will be.

Looking out the window and seeing record snow levels doesn't give you anywhere near enough information about what's going on with the Earth's climate.
By itself, it's effectively meaningless.

Looking at the business turnover of one McDonald's restaurant does not tell you about the financial health of the international franchise overall.
Judging the relative health of the stockmarket by the rise and fall of a couple of stocks is a fool's game.

The need to observe protocols and safeguards in crucnching numbers and managing the finances of a large and complex corporation are very important.
The same goes double for protocols and safeguards in gathering numbers (data) to understand a science subject where statistics are important.

You are being unfair to the science.